EKU Political Scientist Predicts Record Spending in U.S. Senate Race

May 22, 2014

Credit regionalstewardship.eku.edu

Kentucky's 2014 U.S. Senate race could go down as a record breaker.  That's the opinion of a professor in Eastern Kentucky University's Department of Government regarding this fall's contest between veteran incumbent Mitch McConnell and Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes. 

Joe Gershtenson is expecting massive spending by both campaigns. "I think this will be far and away the most expensive election we've ever seen in the Commonwealth and there will be a lot of money being spent by the candidates and there will be a lot of outside money being spent," said Gershtenson.

The marquee U.S. Senate matchup is viewed as one to watch nationally.  But, Gershtenson expects a typical voter response.  "I would anticipate the turnout is not going to look markedly different than we've seen in some recent mid-term elections," added Gershtenson.

In addition to this year's being a mid-term election, Gershtenson says the anticipated flood of negative ads could drive down voter turnout. Although a lot can change between now and November, Gershtenson expects turnout to hover around 40 percent.